Temperature Forecast in Buildings Using Machine Learning Techniques

نویسندگان

  • Fernando Mateo
  • Juan José Carrasco Fernández
  • Mónica Millán-Giraldo
  • Abderrahim Sellami
  • Pablo Escandell-Montero
  • José María Martínez-Martínez
  • Emilio Soria-Olivas
چکیده

Energy efficiency in buildings requires having good prediction of the variables that define the power consumption in the building. Temperature is the most relevant of these variables because it affects the operation of the cooling systems in summer and the heating systems in winter, while being also the main variable that defines comfort. This paper presents the application of classical methods of time series forecasting, such as Autoregressive (AR), Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and Robust MLR (RMLR) models, along with others derived from more complex machine learning techniques, including Multilayer Perceptron with Non-linear Autoregressive Exogenous (MLP-NARX) and Extreme Learning Machine (ELM), to forecast temperature in buildings. The results obtained in the temperature prediction of several rooms of a building show the goodness of machine learning methods as compared to traditional approaches.

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تاریخ انتشار 2013